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Deepening Russia-China ties and Indian Concerns

Context

Recently, the Presidents of Russia and China met at the Great Hall of the People, the seat of power of Chinese Communist Party. 

More about the News: 

  • The two leaders also attended a concert to celebrate 75 years of diplomatic ties.
  • Russian President also received a welcome ceremony featuring a guard of honor by China's People's Liberation Army (PLA).
  • This two-day visit of the Russian president to China coincides with Russia's significant influence over the war in Ukraine. 

China-Russia Ties during Ukraine war:

  • China and Russia formed a strong partnership just before Russia invaded Ukraine in 2022. Russia now controls significant parts of Ukrainian territory. 
  • The West, particularly the US, is worried about China's role in supporting Russia's war efforts. 
  • US officials highlighted China's supply of ‘Duel use tech items’ that aid Russia's military, like missiles, tanks, and lorries.
  • Dual-use items are goods, software, and technology that can be used for both civilian and military applications.
  • Russian imports of tools and chips from China have risen sharply. 
  • Although in his recent visit to Europe, China promised not to sell weapons to Russia and to control the flow of military-related goods. 
  • During the Russian president’s recent visit to China, China re-emphasized their close relationship and discussed ending the war in Ukraine with a political settlement. 

Evolution of the China-Russia Relations:

  • The relationship between China and the Soviet Union had a rocky start. 
  • Mao Zedong (Chinese premier from 1949 to 1976) faced delays and discomfort during his visit to Moscow in 1949 to meet his counterpart Joseph Stalin (1924 to 1953). 
  • Throughout the Cold War, they were rivals, competing for control of the global communist movement.  
  • Both nations even fought a brief border war in 1969. 
  • Relations improved after Mao died in 1976, but remained cool until the Soviet Union dissolved in 1991.
  • Since the 1990s, there have been several milestones formalizing cooperation, like the Treaty of Good Neighborliness and Friendly Cooperation (2001).
  • In the post-Cold War era, economic ties became crucial. China is now Russia's largest trading partner and top Asian investor. 
  • Russia is seen by China as a source of raw materials and a valuable market for its goods.
  • Western hostility towards Russia after the Crimea annexation in 2014 and later developments in Ukraine pushed Moscow closer to Beijing. 

India’s concerns about increasing ties between China-Russia:

  • India believes the West's actions drove Russia towards a stronger partnership with China.
  • The Russia-China defense axis poses several critical questions for India.
  • India heavily relies on Russia for about 60-70% of its defense supplies, and it is especially crucial during the ongoing standoff with China at the border. 
  • Because of this, India wants to ensure the Russian defense industry doesn't suffer from Western sanctions.
  • Some Western analysts worry that Russia could become a subordinate to China, which could impact India. 
  • Historically, the Soviet Union’s position during the 1962 war was not particularly supportive of India. However, in 1971, the Sino-Soviet split led them to support India against China.
  • Regarding potential conflict between India and China, Russia's stance may not be as supportive as in the past.
  • India has legitimate concerns that Russia’s alignment with China's Indo-Pacific stance could hinder India's goal of establishing a 'multipolar Asia' and exacerbate its security challenges vis-à-vis China.
  • However, the China-Russia relationship is often described as a "strategic partnership," it's not a formal alliance. They may not always support each other unconditionally.

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